Pre-tourney Rankings
Atlantic Sun
2016-17


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
117 Florida Gulf Coast 100.0%   14   23 - 7 12 - 2 23 - 7 12 - 2 +2.7      +3.1 88 -0.4 185 62.9 289 +5.4 96 +4.5 1
164 Lipscomb 0.0%   17 - 13 11 - 3 17 - 13 11 - 3 +0.1      +2.2 111 -2.1 236 78.9 13 -1.5 189 +2.2 2
238 South Carolina Upstate 0.0%   13 - 15 7 - 7 13 - 15 7 - 7 -4.7      -0.3 174 -4.5 295 68.3 161 -4.6 238 -5.1 5
248 North Florida 0.0%   11 - 19 8 - 6 11 - 19 8 - 6 -5.2      -1.5 208 -3.8 278 71.2 90 -4.3 235 -2.7 3
252 Kennesaw St. 0.0%   12 - 18 7 - 7 12 - 18 7 - 7 -5.4      -1.2 200 -4.2 289 69.7 120 -6.4 258 -5.0 4
286 Jacksonville 0.0%   13 - 15 5 - 9 13 - 15 5 - 9 -7.9      -1.8 219 -6.1 317 66.6 211 -6.6 262 -8.8 6
294 NJIT 0.0%   9 - 20 3 - 11 9 - 20 3 - 11 -8.4      -4.9 297 -3.5 268 67.7 182 -8.4 292 -12.5 8
322 Stetson 0.0%   8 - 21 3 - 11 8 - 21 3 - 11 -10.8      -2.3 225 -8.5 340 76.3 25 -10.3 313 -12.0 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Florida Gulf Coast 1.0 100.0
Lipscomb 2.0 100.0
South Carolina Upstate 4.0 100.0
North Florida 3.0 100.0
Kennesaw St. 4.0 100.0
Jacksonville 6.0 100.0
NJIT 7.0 100.0
Stetson 7.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Florida Gulf Coast 12 - 2 100.0
Lipscomb 11 - 3 100.0
South Carolina Upstate 7 - 7 100.0
North Florida 8 - 6 100.0
Kennesaw St. 7 - 7 100.0
Jacksonville 5 - 9 100.0
NJIT 3 - 11 100.0
Stetson 3 - 11 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Florida Gulf Coast 100.0% 100.0
Lipscomb
South Carolina Upstate
North Florida
Kennesaw St.
Jacksonville
NJIT
Stetson


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Florida Gulf Coast 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   0.2 15.6 82.4 1.7
Lipscomb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Kennesaw St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Jacksonville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
NJIT 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stetson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Florida Gulf Coast 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 6.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lipscomb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kennesaw St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacksonville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NJIT 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stetson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 6.5% 0.1 93.5 6.5
Sweet Sixteen 0.9% 0.0 99.1 0.9
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0